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 NEXT SMS TIPS IN 25.04.2017

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TOTAL MATCHES: 7       ODDS:2.00/2.50       Sure: 80%

DATE : 25.04.2016

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Chelsea is coming into this Premier League match after an impressive performance in FA Cup last Saturday evening when the team won over Tottenham in semi-finals of that competition with a 4:2 result. In some way they really proved that the team is one of the best in the country and now need to do the job in Premiership as well.

It was a pretty open game with lots of offensive effort from both sides, while the Spurs had more of the ball possession, but the Blues have shown themselves much more concrete in the final effort. They took the lead in fifth already via Willian and even though Kane leveled up in 18th, Willian scored second one in 43rd. Alli temporarily equalized in 52nd, but the Blues were way more concrete in last phase, sealing the victory thanks to goals from Hazard and Matic. They will be playing in the big finals against Arsenal, while the side remains first in Premier League, having four points more than second placed Tottenham and need to get a victory here in front of own fans against the Saints.

Hazard and Pedro should be on the wings, plus Costa as central striker, most likely in some kind of 3-4-3 formation. Central defender Gary Cahill is doubtful due illness, while offensive Willian has some problems too, but should be fine to start.

Southampton, on the other side, had a break this weekend and the team had a lot of time to prepare for this one, since their previous game was played on 15th April, when the team welcomed Manchester City and actually didn’t have plenty of chances to respond and get a positive result, suffering 0:3 defeat that day.

They stood well in the defense at first and the Citizens couldn’t create real chances, but once the visitors stood up and increased the pressure in the second half, it was easy for them to reach the victory thanks to goals from Kompany in 55th, Sane in 77th and Aguero in 80th minute, while the Saints almost didn’t threaten during the game. The side is safely placed at ninth position now, having nine points more than relegating struggling Swansea.

Goalkeeper Alex McCarthy remains long term absentee, while injured are also central defender Virgil van Dijk (21/1), left back Sam McQueen (13/0). Left back Matt Targett and forward Charlie Austin remain probably unfit for this one. Visitors are set to play in 4-3-3 formation, with Redmond, Gabbiadini and Boufal as forwards most likely.

  • Chelsea have won 11 of their last 12 home matches (Premier League).

Chelsea comes now from a morale boosting victory against the Spurs and I don’t see them slipping in front of their own fans since the team is in a title battle, while the visiting side anyway has less of individual quality and coming here with way less competitive motive.

Bet: Chelsea -1.25 Asian handicap @ 2.08 with Pinnacle

 

Hamburger SV had every chance to walk away with something last weekend when the team visited Werder Bremen on Sunday evening and even though they took the lead in sixth minute with a goal from Gregoritsch, the side stood defeated with narrow 2:1 result. Their hosts were more concrete and managed to level up the result in 41st via Kruse.

Second halftime was quite equal, but once again players of Werder were more concrete and risked more when needed, getting the victory with a goal from Kainz in 75th minute, even though the final result could have been different on some other day. With this defeat, the team failed to get some distance in points in comparison to relegating worried Augsburg sitting now just a point above the team placed at play-out position.

Hosts will be playing in 4-2-3-1 formation with Wood as central striker, plus Kostic, Holtby and Hunt as offensive midfielders. Central defender Kyriakos Papadopoulos returns back from suspension here, while the hosts can’t count at injured goalkeeper Rene Adler (19/0), offensive Nicolai Muller (24/5) and central midfielder Albin Ekdal (20/1). Central defender Johan Djourou (14/0) is doubtful but should be fine before the game.

After a run of four consecutive defeats, players of Darmstadt managed to improve last Sunday evening and take a bit unexpected three pointer in front of own fans against Schalke with a narrow 2:1 victory. They opened the game well and took the lead in eleventh minute via Vrancic.

However, visitors replied with better performances and improvement, being more dominant side and leveling up the result in 72nd minute via Coke, while they missed some great chances including even a penalty kick earlier. However, hosts played well in the defense and managed to take advantage once Schalke stood playing with a man less in 81st minute when Kehrer got excluded, with Gondorf sealing the three pointer in third minute of additional time in a bit lucky way. Despite a victory, Darmstadt remains at the rock bottom position, having fourteen points less than play-out placed Augsburg and actually without a chance to stay in Bundesliga.

Visitors are set to play in 4-2-3-1 formation as well, using Schipplock as their central striker and number nine, while Sam, Vrancic and Heller will be playing as offensive midfielders. Offensive Sidney Sam returns from injury and should be ready to start, otherwise their manager Torsten Frings won’t be making any changes for this one. Central defender and sometimes midfielder, Peter Niemeyer (15/0) is injured.

  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Hamburg’s last 4 games (Bundesliga).

Even though Darmstadt impressed in the previous round against Schalke that was influenced with busy schedule, I don’t see them staying very competitive in this one. The team looks like sure participants of second tier of German football for the next season and overall, more individually quality Hamburg should take advantage over them and celebrate an easy victory in their relegation battle this time.

Bet: Hamburger SV -1 Asian handicap @ 1.70 with Pinnacle

 

After a run of eleven winless matches in a row, players of Laval actually fought back with a really good performance in front of own fans against Reims last weekend as the team looked really impressive, especially in offense and took a 5:2 victory against a very reputable side.

However, things didn’t start that bright for them, as the guests took the lead already in second minute with a goal from Chavarria, but not only that – they even doubled up the lead in 26th minute via Kyei. Hosts managed to reduce the deficit five minutes later via Alla, but improved strongly in the second halftime and scored four goals to completely revert the scoreline as the guests collapsed after a penalty missed at the start of second (hosts scored goals via Bayard, All, an own goal and Wissa). Laval is still at the rock bottom position, however now having just a point less than play-out placed Orleans and need to keep impressing in this one as well.

Strasbourg, on the other side, also comes from a rock solid and concrete performance on Monday evening, as the team took a three pointer in very interesting game at home against AC Ajacio in a 4:2 victory. They also were back in the scoreline conceding in 15th minute via Madri, but then improved strongly as well.

They reverted the scoreline within twelve next minutes, via goals from Lienard and Boutaib, played who scored their third in 58th minute, while Guillaume sealed their three pointer in 66th. All the visitors were able was to reduce the deficit in 87th again via Madri, but it must be said that the hosts fully deserved this three pointer. After this victory the team stands at second position with three points less than leaders from Brest and just a point less than third placed Lens, thuss remaining in a must win position for this one.

This game means much more than three points to both sides, one playing for salvation and other for promotion. Therefore, I can’t see this game being very closed one, especially not when looking at their offensive record in previous week. Odds surely do have decent value at this moment.

Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.25 with Pinnacle

 

Hoffenheim will host Gladbach in a match with crucial importance for both of them.Hoffenheim make their dream season.At home they are still unbeaten 9-5-0 and manages to score in every home game,except one.They managed to beat Bayern 1-0 but after 7 games unbeaten they lost to Hamburger 2-1 and they will surely need to recover fast as Dortmund knock on the door to third place.Actually, Hoffenheim will finish at least 4 which again give the right to try the UCL tournament but only if pass the play-offs.Hoffenheim are good team but I do not think they are experienced enough to pass the play-offs against French,Spanish or an Italian side.They will give everything to win today.

Borussia Gladbah manged to impress a lot in their last games after the manager change.They won to Hertha and to Cologne in their last 2 games and are only 2 points behind Freiburg and League Europe.Gladbach have bad season for sure but there is no time to think about the mistakes but to try everything to get the maximum from the season till the end.In the summer there will be a lot of changes and transfers but now is not the time.However, Gladbach scored in 71% of their away games and trust me they will not travel away just to see how the goals are flying in their net.They have a lot to play for.Head to head last 7 meetings between them ended with BTTS and I expect today at least one goals from both sides.

 

Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
BTTS Bet365 1.66 6 Pending

 

Ajax comes from third consecutive victory in Eredivisie, as the team is again in the title race coming from a 5:1 victory away from home against NEC Nijmegen last weekend. Visitors from Amsterdam took the game very importantly and had entered the game very well, taking the double lead within first eight minutes via an own goal and Neres.

Traore wrote 3:0 in 32nd minute, with Kadioglu scoring a goal for the home team in 54th minute, while the visitors remained better on the field and scored twice more, again via Traore and Ziyech. The team is now having just a point less than first placed Feyenoord, having also four points more than third placed PSV which surely remains kind of a priority for them.

Hosts will be playing in 4-3-3 formation with Younes and Traore as wingers, plus Dolberg most likely as central striker. Offensive midfielder Lasse Schone (25/7) is suspended for this one, while striker Kasper Dolberg has some problems and didn’t feature during the previous weekend, but is expected to recover on time for this one.

Schalke, on the other side, improved a lot in previous game, as the team won 4:1 in front of own fans against Wolfsburg last weekend. Their players entered the match really strongly and took the double lead after twenty minutes or something, thanks to goals from Burgstaller and Goretzka.

Caligiuri and Burgstaller scored two more goals inside the second halftime, with Gomez reducing the deficit in 79th minute from a penalty kick, in one of rare chances for visiting side. This victory came after defeat to Werder Bremen and a draw at home against Dortmund, as the side now stands at tenth position at the moment, being four points below the Europa League placed Freiburg.

Visitors are set to play in their usual 4-2-3-1 formation, using Burgstaller most likely as central striker, but also with Caligiuri, Goretzka and Choupo-Motig as offensive midfielders. They have no fresh injury concerns for this trip, since the team continues to miss left full back Abdul Rahman Baba (13/0), central defender Naldo (18/1), midfielder Dennis Aogo (5/0) and forward Breel Embolo (7/2).

  • Ajax are undefeated in 12 of their last 13 matches (UEFA Europa League).

Ajax is looking good in previous matches in Europa League especially at home and the team knows that they can’t wait for much here. Schalke will be really dangerous in attack, so I see the game being very open minded and attack from the first minute.

Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 with Bet365

 

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Stuttgart is fought for direct placement in the Bundesliga, while Karlsuher fought for survival in the league.

The basic elements of bet:

- Stuttgart has not recorded win five games in a row in this match have imperative of victory.

- At home have ratio of: 9-2-2, and are very strong host team.

- Karlsruher is the last place on table and worst away team in league with a ratio of: 1-5-7.

- Karlsruher form is desperate, of the last eight games with six defeats, one draw and one win.

- H2H: Of the five matches played Stuttgart has four victories, in all four victories covered line AH-1.

Stuttgart for this match dont have important players absences, except Manea (MF).

In team ofKarlsruher will be absent couple of important players, namely; Valentini (DF), Torres (MF), Hoffer (FW) and Stoppellkamp (MF).

Possible lineup Stuttgart: Langerak - J. Zimmer, Baumgartl, Kaminski, Insua - M. Zimmermann, Pavard - Asano, Gentner, Brekalo - Terodde

Possible lineup Karlsruher: Orlishausen - Bader, Kinsombi, Thoelke, Sallah - G. Krebs, Meffert - Yamada, Diamantakos, Marv. Mehl - Kamberi

I expect to win Stuttgart two goals difference.

 

Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Stuttgart AH-1 Pinnacle 1.89 2 Pending

 

Nottingen hosts Hoffenheim II in round 31 of the Regionalliga Sudwest. With 6 rounds to go Nottingen has a mountain to climb. They are last on the table with 22 points and 8 away from the relegation play-off. They will feel confident they can show a good game against the youths of Hoffenheim and show a much bigger determination at least. Nottingen has lost just once from the last 5 league matches and picked up two huge wins over Astoria away 5:1 and Teutonia at home 2:1. Still they can`t be very optimistic regarding their home form as they won just once in the last 7 matches. We have seen them getting on the score sheet quite often though and they will have to risk it again. 1 point will not be enough against Hoffenheim.

Hoffenheim II is 5`th on the table with 49 points and far from the promotion places. Their most recent poor run of form has seen them drop out of the race and has again showed the problems the youth teams have. Some matches should have been won but the players haven`t managed to put the games to bed. Now they can perform carefree and this could be dangerous for the hosts. Hoffenheim has opened up lately and their matches have been very entertaining. Their latest results were: 5:2, 2:3, 1:3, 1:2, 5:1.

In their latest match the team got the reinforcements from the first team as Rupp, Kaderabek and Ox all played in a convincing demolition of Kassel with 5:1.

Both of these teams are goal happy and lead the league table by goal average. Nottingen has 3.47 while Hoffenheim has 3.2 goals per game.

Also the recent history favours the big over: 8:0, 1:4, 2:4, 3:3.

Nottingen has to win this by all means while the pressure free youths of Hoffenheim will be make this interesting. I see this going over.

 

Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Over 3 AH Pinnacle 1.88 8 Pending

 

Round 40 of the English Championship opposes the teams of league leaders Newcastle United and fighting for its survival in the league Burton.

Newcastle is on its way to earn automatic promotion back to the Premier League as they are 10 points up on the 3rd place. The question is will they be able to win the title at the Championship. With Brighton right at their back with 1 point gap Newcastle needs to keep up the good results coming. They are in a good form losing just one game in their last 14. Their attack is lethal as they have scored most goals in the league. With 72 goals in 39 games and Gayle scoring 22 Newcastle looks threatening up front. With Isaac Hayden return to action and Dwight Gayle returning to full fitness the team has the potential to continue its good run and eventually win the league.

Burton took a breath last week with a surprise victory over Huddersfield. They managed to defend well against Huddursfield attack and right at the end of the game they scored to get those precious 3 points. The Brewers are now 4 points above the danger zone. Still there is a long way ahead and they need to fix their problems up front. With merely a goal per game on average the team is one of the lowest scoring sides in the league.

With Newcastle’s main players returning to action and their current form I don’t think we can expect anything but 3 points for the league leaders. Still Burton are a tough nut to break at the back so I would go for high handicaps. My pick here is Newcastle -0,5.1,0 AH for 1.55 at bet365. Goo Luck!

 

Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Newcastle -0,5.1,0 AH Bet365 1.55 10 Pending

 

 

 

2016 turned out to be a disaster for Bodo/Glimt as the club got relegated in a seasin where the club was 100 years. However, a new season is on its way and the goal is naturally to get straight back up agian. They have kept their key-players from last season with their hero Trond Olsen been given the captaincy in front of this season. He has stated that the club's goal is nothing but promotion and he build that statement on a strong defense combined with some new players on midfield that strenghtens the team. Jose Angel Jurado and Thomas Drage are two of those players that can contribute with the extra as the season progresses. It is also some interesting players up front that has come in with Kristian Fardal Opseth (Sogndal) and Onyekachi Hope Ugwuadu (on loan from Sarpsborg 08). Both players knows this league well and got skills to contribute together with Trond Olsen this season.

The team has enjoyed quite a good preseason in terms of results without counting on that too much. Five wins which including against Molde (0-2), Levanger (2-0) and Tromsdalen (1-0), two losses on La Manga and a draw in the final game agaisnt Tromso (3-3) shows the facts. Their final match agaisnt Tromso showed both their offensive capabillity and their defensive struggles at times that needs to go away. Bodo/Glimt lead 0-1 and 2-3, but did not manage to take the win in the end.

Kongsvinger is ready for another season in OBOS-Ligaen and they want to continue to build on their great season last year. They managed to get into qualification, but did lose agaisnt Jerv when it counted as most. However, they did also go all the way into the cup final agaisnt Rosenborg which was a brilliant performance. The season showed that Kongsvinger can be a tough team to handle for any opponent on a given day, but it is difficult to predict how this version of the team will be. The club has a young squad with new signins like Fredrik Sjolstad (Hodd). Two new goalkeepers has been brought in with Otto Fredrikson retirement in mind, and Simen Lillevik (on loand from Stabaek) and Aleksey Gorodovoy (Spartak Nalchik) will fill the shoes this season. On top, attackers Niklas Castro (Valerenga) and Pär Ericksson (Jönköping) will give positive energrgy and contribute with more routnine to this young squad. Konsvinger's preseason has not been the best in terms of results with a win agaisnt Valerenga (2-1), thre losses agaisnt Stabaek (0-1), Sarpsborg 08 (0-2) and Strommen (0-1) and two draws agaisnt Jerv (1-1) and Mjondalen (2-2). In terms of injuries tonight, the strikers Maikel Nieves and Mats Cato Moldskred is out together with midfielder Orjan Royrane and defender Fredrik Palerud.

It will a match between two great teams in OBOS-Ligaen this seaso, but it is only the home side that can aim for the very top in my opinion. Kongsvinger must lean heavily on their two best players with striker Adem Güven and midfielder Martin Ellingsen, but the depth in this squad should make it tough to get among the top six. They also have a new coach in Hans Erik-Eriksen and it could be tough to build up another team to perform the way Kongsvinger did last season in such a short amount of time. Bodo/Glimt has a much better team on paper and must win quickly in order to establish their beleive on going straight back up to Eliteserien. That is usually easier said that done, with Bodo/Glimt using four seasons on that performance the last time they went down back in 2009. All in all, I predict Bodo/Glimt to take this. They will have most of the possession and are able to outplay every opponent in this league with their quick counter-attacks and pacefull players upfront. Kongsvinger must try to destroy Bodo/Glimt's game plan and drag down the tempo as much as they can in order to get the home team frustrated and turn the game into their favor. However, I think Bodo/Glimt will have enough experience to see this and adapt to the situation in order to grab their first win already in game one.

 

Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Bodo/Glimt Marathonbet 1.66 5 Pending

 

As the season progresses and goes towards it’s end, it’s obvious that Nice can’t keep up the pace with two strongest sides in the country – PSG and Monaco. After a great season, they now had two consecutive draws and the team is probably done with the title race as they now have seven points less than leaders from Monaco and four less than second placed PSG.

However, there’s no doubt that they won’t surrender till the end, especially as they can avoid playing in the Champions League qualifiers in case the team ends up second at the table. Last time out, the side took a only a point in a 1:1 draw away to Nantes now almost two weeks ago. Their opponents took the lead in 22nd via Sala, with the visiting side leveling up the result in 28th via Seri, however without having many chances later on, despite having ball to their feet for the most of the game.

Midfielder Remi Walter (18/0) is doubtful for the home team, while they continue to miss injured central defender Paul Baysse (21/2), offensive midfielder Wylan Cyprien (29/8) and forward Alassane Plea (25/11).

Bordeaux, on the other side, isn’t looking poor this season, far away from it, but the side misses something more in order to catch up with the best teams in the league and actually fights for European positions. Currently, they are at sixth position at the table in Ligue 1, having just four points less than Europa league placed Lyon.

This means that they remain close to must win situation in every single game if they are to compete in European battle, as the side comes from a very good performance and impressive 5:1 victory at home against Montpellier two weeks ago. Their guests had more of the ball possession, but the players of Bordeaux proved once again to be very concrete in attack and scored three inside the first halftime via Rolan, Sankhare and Vada (from penalty kick). Boudebouz reduced the deficit, but the hosts scored twice more towards the end, via Rolan again and Malcom. Their doing fine job on the road with 5-5-4 record so far, implementing a bit more offensive football for French standards away from home and no doubt that they will try with similar tactics.

Central defender Nicolas Pallois (26/2) is suspended, while injured remain left back Maxime Poundje (7/0), offensive midfielder Thomas Toure (6/0) and midfielder Abdou Traore (6/0).

  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Bordeaux’s last 7 games (Ligue 1).

I expect this match to be quite an open one, more than the bookies believe. Nice needs to get a victory and have offensive power, however Bordeaux is one of more open minded teams on the road and definitely believe they are able to score, maybe not only once.

Bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 with 10bet

Schalke hosts their biggest rivals Borussia Dortmund on Saturday at Veltins - Arena(Gelsenkirchen). The Rivier derby also known as Ruhr derby is one of the most fiercest derbies in German football with lots of emotions , breathtaking moments and even fights. It is always been a question of honour to win that match and to be the king of the Ruhr region until the next clash.

Schalke does not have not a good season,They are on 9th place , 13 points from Borussia Dortmund.From 25 matches they have only 33 points which is one of their lowest performances in the Bundesliga so far. Despite the bad season , they head off into this clash in a good form (W3 , D3 , L1).They also managed to do a great comeback against Gladbach in Europa League (2-0 / 2-2) and knocked them out which shows us improvement in the quality of the team.

Schalke has two important injuries - Naldo and Breel Embolo are both out.

The situation in Dortmund is not quite different.They are in absolutely great form.They won 6 from their last 7 games with the stunning (21-4) goal difference. The yellows managed to beat Benfica in order to progress in the Uefa Champions League tournament.They showed us that they can play an attractive and scoring football. In the championship they are 3 points behind the newly promoted miracle RB Leipzig and one point above Hoffenheim so no doubt they will try everything to score goals and secure their place because they definitely need points.

To sum up , both teams proved that they are really solid in 2017.Both of them need points to progress in the championship.They showed us great improvement and we witnessed quite good comebacks which showed us that both of them can score goals when they are in a hard position so I expect at least one goal from both sides.Something to add , the last 9 matches at Veltins - Arena between them ended with BTTS so I am backing them with full confidence.

 

Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
BTTS Bet365 1.61 6 1:1

 

 


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